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October 12, 2008
It may surprise you to learn that among the issues that will occupy much
of your time in the coming years is one you barely mentioned during the campaign:
food. Food policy is not something American presidents have had to give much
thought to, at least since the Nixon administration the last time
high
food prices presented
a serious political peril. Since then, federal policies to promote maximum
production of the commodity crops (corn, soybeans, wheat and rice) from which
most of our supermarket foods are derived have succeeded impressively in
keeping prices low and food more or less off the national political agenda.
But with a suddenness that has taken us all by surprise, the era of cheap
and abundant food appears to be drawing to a close. What this means is that
you, like so many other leaders through history, will find yourself confronting
the fact so easy to overlook these past few years that the
health of a nations food system is a critical issue of national security.
Food is about to demand your attention.
Complicating matters is the fact that the price and abundance of food are
not the only problems we face; if they were, you could simply follow
Nixons example, appoint a latter-day Earl Butz as your secretary of
agriculture and instruct him or her to do whatever it takes to boost production.
But there are reasons to think that the old approach wont work this
time around; for one thing, it depends on cheap energy that we can no longer
count on. For another, expanding production of industrial agriculture today
would require you to sacrifice important values on which you did campaign.
Which brings me to the deeper reason you will need not simply to address
food prices but to make the reform of the entire food system one of the highest
priorities of your administration: unless you do, you will not be able to
make significant progress on the health care crisis, energy independence
or
climate change.
Unlike food, these are issues you did campaign on but as you try to
address them you will quickly discover that the way we currently grow, process
and eat food in America goes to the heart of all three problems and will
have to change if we hope to solve them. Let me explain.
After cars, the food system uses more fossil fuel than any other
sector of the economy 19 percent. And while the experts disagree about
the exact amount, the way we feed ourselves contributes more greenhouse gases
to the atmosphere than anything else we do as much as 37
percent, according to one study. Whenever farmers clear land for
crops and till the soil, large quantities of carbon are released into the
air. But the 20th-century industrialization of agriculture has increased
the amount of greenhouse gases emitted by the food system by an order of
magnitude; chemical fertilizers (made from natural gas), pesticides (made
from petroleum), farm machinery, modern food processing and packaging and
transportation have together transformed a system that in 1940
produced 2.3 calories of food energy for every calorie of fossil-fuel energy
it used into one that now takes 10 calories of fossil-fuel energy to produce
a single calorie of modern supermarket food. Put
another way, when we eat from the industrial-food system, we are eating oil
and spewing greenhouse gases. This state of affairs appears all
the more absurd when you recall that every calorie we eat is ultimately the
product of photosynthesis a process based on making food energy from
sunshine. There is hope and possibility in that simple fact.
In addition to the problems of climate change and Americas oil addiction,
you have spoken at length on the campaign trail of the health care crisis.
Spending on health care has risen from 5 percent of national income
in 1960 to 16 percent today, putting a significant drag on the economy.
The goal of ensuring the health of all Americans depends on getting those
costs under control. There are several reasons health care has gotten so
expensive, but one of the biggest, and perhaps most tractable, is the cost
to the system of preventable chronic diseases. Four of the top 10
killers in America today are chronic diseases linked to diet: heart disease,
stroke, Type 2 diabetes and cancer. It is no coincidence that in
the years national spending on health care went from 5 percent to 16 percent
of national income, spending on food has fallen by a comparable amount
from 18 percent of household income to less than 10 percent. While the surfeit
of cheap calories that the U.S. food system has produced since the late 1970s
may have taken food prices off the political agenda, this has come at a steep
cost to public health. You cannot expect to reform the health care system,
much less expand coverage, without confronting the public-health catastrophe
that is the modern American diet.
The impact of the American food system on the rest of the world will have
implications for your foreign and trade policies as well. In the past several
months more than 30 nations have experienced food riots, and so far one
government has fallen. Should high grain prices persist and shortages develop,
you can expect to see the pendulum shift decisively away from free trade,
at least in food. Nations that opened their markets to the global flood of
cheap grain (under pressure from previous administrations as well as the
World Bank and the I.M.F.) lost
so many farmers that they now find their ability to feed their own populations
hinges on decisions made in Washington (like your predecessors precipitous
embrace of
biofuels) and on Wall Street. They
will now rush to rebuild their own agricultural sectors and then seek to
protect them by erecting trade barriers. Expect to hear the phrases
food sovereignty and food security on the lips of
every foreign leader you meet. Not only the Doha round, but the
whole cause of free trade in agriculture is probably dead, the casualty of
a cheap food policy that a scant two years ago seemed like a boon for everyone.
It is one of the larger paradoxes of our time that the very same food policies
that have contributed to overnutrition in the first world are now contributing
to undernutrition in the third. But it turns out that too much food can be
nearly as big a problem as too little a lesson we should keep in mind
as we set about designing a new approach to food policy.
Rich or poor, countries struggling with soaring food prices are being forcibly
reminded that food is a national-security issue. When a nation loses the
ability to substantially feed itself, it is not only at the mercy of global
commodity markets but of other governments as well. At issue is not only
the availability of food, which may be held hostage by a hostile state, but
its safety: as recent scandals in China demonstrate, we have little control
over the safety of imported foods. The deliberate contamination of our food
presents another national-security threat. At his valedictory press
conference in 2004,
Tommy Thompson, the secretary
of health and human services, offered a chilling warning, saying, I,
for the life of me, cannot understand why the terrorists have not attacked
our food supply, because it is so easy to do.
This, in brief, is the bad news: the food and agriculture policies youve
inherited designed to maximize production at all costs and relying
on cheap energy to do so are in shambles, and the need to address
the problems they have caused is acute. The good news is that the twinned
crises in food and energy are creating a political environment in which real
reform of the food system may actually be possible for the first time in
a generation. The American people are paying more attention to food today
than they have in decades, worrying not only about its price but about its
safety, its provenance and its healthfulness. There is a gathering sense
among the public that the industrial-food system is broken. Markets for
alternative kinds of food organic, local, pasture-based, humane
are thriving as never before. All this suggests that a political constituency
for change is building and not only on the left: lately, conservative voices
have also been raised in support of reform. Writing of the movement back
to
local food economies, traditional
foods (and family meals) and more sustainable farming, The American Conservative
magazine editorialized last summer that this is a conservative cause
if ever there was one.
There are many moving parts to the new food agenda Im urging you to
adopt, but the core idea could not be simpler: we need to wean the American
food system off its heavy 20th-century diet of fossil fuel and put it back
on a diet of contemporary sunshine. True, this is easier said than done
fossil fuel is deeply implicated in everything about the way we currently
grow food and feed ourselves. To put the food system back on sunlight will
require policies to change how things work at every link in the food chain:
in the farm field, in the way food is processed and sold and even in the
American kitchen and at the American dinner table. Yet the sun still shines
down on our land every day, and photosynthesis can still work its wonders
wherever it does. If any part of the modern economy can be freed from its
dependence on oil and successfully resolarized, surely it is food.
How We Got Here
Before setting out an agenda for reforming the food system, its important
to understand how that system came to be and also to appreciate what,
for all its many problems, it has accomplished. What our food system does
well is precisely what it was designed to do, which is to produce cheap calories
in great abundance. It is no small thing for an American to be able to go
into a fast-food restaurant and to buy a double cheeseburger, fries and a
large Coke for a price equal to less than an hour of labor at the minimum
wage indeed, in the long sweep of history, this represents a remarkable
achievement.
It must be recognized that the current food system characterized by
monocultures of corn and soy in the field and cheap calories of fat, sugar
and feedlot meat on the table is not simply the product of the free
market. Rather, it is the product of a specific set of government policies
that sponsored a shift from solar (and human) energy on the farm to fossil-fuel
energy.
Did you notice when you flew over Iowa during the campaign how the
land was completely bare black from October to April? What
you were seeing is the agricultural landscape created by cheap oil. In years
past, except in the dead of winter, you would have seen in those fields a
checkerboard of different greens: pastures and hayfields for animals, cover
crops, perhaps a block of fruit trees. Before the application of
oil and natural gas to agriculture, farmers relied on crop diversity (and
photosynthesis) both to replenish their soil and to combat pests, as well
as to feed themselves and their neighbors. Cheap energy, however,
enabled the creation of monocultures, and monocultures in turn vastly increased
the productivity both of the American land and the American farmer; today
the typical corn-belt farmer is single-handedly feeding 140 people.
This did not occur by happenstance. After World War II, the government encouraged
the conversion of the munitions industry to fertilizer ammonium nitrate
being the main ingredient of both bombs and chemical fertilizer and
the conversion of nerve-gas research to pesticides. The government also began
subsidizing commodity crops, paying farmers by the bushel for all the corn,
soybeans, wheat and rice they could produce. One secretary of agriculture
after another implored them to plant fence row to fence row and
to get big or get out.
The chief result, especially after the Earl Butz years, was a flood of cheap
grain that could be sold for substantially less than it cost farmers
to grow because a government check helped make up the difference. As this
artificially cheap grain worked its way up the food chain, it drove down
the price of all the calories derived from that grain: the high-fructose
corn syrup in the Coke, the soy oil in which the potatoes were fried, the
meat and cheese in the burger.
[Living beyond means, the habipols are guilty--RSB]
Subsidized monocultures of grain also led directly to monocultures
of animals: since factory farms could buy grain for less than it
cost farmers to grow it, they could now fatten animals more cheaply than
farmers could. So Americas meat and dairy animals migrated
from farm to feedlot, driving down the price of animal protein to the point
where an American can enjoy eating, on average, 190 pounds of meat a year
a half pound every day.
But if taking the animals off farms made a certain kind of economic
sense, it made no ecological sense whatever: their waste, formerly regarded
as a precious source of fertility on the farm, became a pollutant
factory farms are now one of Americas biggest sources of pollution.
As Wendell Berry has tartly observed, to take animals off farms and put them
on feedlots is to take an elegant solution animals replenishing the
fertility that crops deplete and neatly divide it into two problems:
a fertility problem on the farm and a pollution problem on the feedlot. The
former problem is remedied with fossil-fuel fertilizer; the latter is remedied
not at all.
What was once a regional food economy is now national and increasingly
global in scope thanks again to fossil fuel. Cheap energy for
trucking food as well as pumping water is the reason New York City
now gets its produce from California rather than from the Garden
State next door, as it did before the advent of Interstate highways
and national trucking networks. More recently, cheap energy has underwritten
a globalized food economy in which it makes (or rather, made) economic sense
to catch salmon in Alaska, ship it to China to be filleted and then ship
the fillets back to California to be eaten; or one in which California and
Mexico can profitably swap tomatoes back and forth across the border; or
Denmark and the United States can trade sugar cookies across the Atlantic.
About that particular swap the economist Herman Daly once quipped,
Exchanging recipes would surely be more efficient.
Whatever we may have liked about the era of cheap, oil-based food,
it is drawing to a close. Even if we were willing to continue paying
the environmental or public-health price, were not going to have the
cheap energy (or the water) needed to keep the system going, much less expand
production. But as is so often the case, a crisis provides opportunity for
reform, and the current food crisis presents opportunities that must be seized.
In drafting these proposals, Ive adhered to a few simple principles
of what a 21st-century food system needs to do. First, your
administrations food policy must strive to provide a healthful diet
for all our people; this means focusing on the quality and diversity (and
not merely the quantity) of the calories that American agriculture produces
and American eaters consume. Second, your policies should aim to improve
the resilience, safety and security of our food supply. Among other things,
this means promoting regional food economies both in America and around the
world. And lastly, your policies need to reconceive agriculture as part of
the solution to environmental problems like climate change.
These goals are admittedly ambitious, yet they will not be difficult to align
or advance as long as we keep in mind this One Big Idea: most of the problems
our food system faces today are because of its reliance on fossil fuels,
and to the extent that our policies wring the oil out of the system and replace
it with the energy of the sun, those policies will simultaneously improve
the state of our health, our environment and our security.
I. Resolarizing the American Farm
What happens in the field influences every other link of the food chain on
up to our meals if we grow monocultures of corn and soy, we will find
the products of processed corn and soy on our plates. Fortunately for your
initiative, the federal government has enormous leverage in determining exactly
what happens on the 830 million acres of American crop and pasture land.
Today most government farm and food programs are designed to prop up the
old system of maximizing production from a handful of subsidized commodity
crops grown in monocultures. Even food-assistance programs like WIC and school
lunch focus on maximizing quantity rather than quality, typically specifying
a minimum number of calories (rather than maximums) and seldom paying more
than lip service to nutritional quality. This focus on quantity may have
made sense in a time of food scarcity, but today it gives us a school-lunch
program that feeds chicken nuggets and Tater Tots to overweight and diabetic
children.
Your challenge is to take control of this vast federal machinery and use
it to drive a transition to a new solar-food economy, starting on the farm.
Right now, the government actively discourages the farmers it subsidizes
from growing healthful, fresh food: farmers receiving crop subsidies are
prohibited from growing specialty crops farm-bill speak
for fruits and vegetables. (This rule was the price exacted by California
and Florida produce growers in exchange for going along with subsidies for
commodity crops.) Commodity farmers should instead be encouraged to grow
as many different crops including animals as possible. Why?
Because the greater the diversity of crops on a farm, the less the need for
both fertilizers and pesticides.
The power of cleverly designed polycultures to produce large amounts of food
from little more than soil, water and sunlight has been proved, not only
by small-scale alternative farmers in the United States but also
by large rice-and-fish farmers in China and giant-scale operations (up to
15,000 acres) in places like Argentina. There, in a geography roughly
comparable to that of the American farm belt, farmers have traditionally
employed an ingenious eight-year rotation of perennial pasture and annual
crops: after five years grazing cattle on pasture (and producing the
worlds best beef), farmers can then grow three years of grain without
applying any fossil-fuel fertilizer. Or, for that matter, many
pesticides: the weeds that afflict pasture cant survive the years of
tillage, and the weeds of row crops dont survive the years of grazing,
making herbicides all but unnecessary. There is no reason save current
policy and custom that American farmers couldnt grow both
high-quality grain and grass-fed beef under such a regime through much of
the Midwest. (It should be noted that todays sky-high grain prices
are causing many Argentine farmers to abandon their rotation to grow grain
and soybeans exclusively, an environmental disaster in the making.)
Federal policies could do much to encourage this sort of diversified sun
farming. Begin with the subsidies: payment levels should reflect the number
of different crops farmers grow or the number of days of the year their fields
are green that is, taking advantage of photosynthesis, whether to
grow food, replenish the soil or control erosion. If Midwestern farmers
simply planted a cover crop after the fall harvest, they would significantly
reduce their need for fertilizer, while cutting down on soil erosion. Why
dont farmers do this routinely? Because in recent years fossil-fuel-based
fertility has been so much cheaper and easier to use than sun-based
fertility.
In addition to rewarding farmers for planting cover crops, we should make
it easier for them to apply compost to their fields a practice that
improves not only the fertility of the soil but also its ability to hold
water and therefore withstand drought. (There is mounting evidence that it
also boosts the nutritional quality of the food grown in it.) The U.S.D.A.
estimates that Americans throw out 14 percent of the food they buy; much
more is wasted by retailers, wholesalers and institutions. A program
to make municipal composting of food and yard waste mandatory and
then distributing the compost free to area farmers would shrink Americas
garbage heap, cut the need for irrigation and fossil-fuel fertilizers in
agriculture and improve the nutritional quality of the American diet.
Right now, most of the conservation programs run by the U.S.D.A. are designed
on the zero-sum principle: land is either locked up in conservation
or it is farmed intensively. This either-or approach reflects an outdated
belief that modern farming and ranching are inherently destructive, so that
the best thing for the environment is to leave land untouched. But we now
know how to grow crops and graze animals in systems that will support
biodiversity, soil health, clean water and carbon sequestration. The Conservation
Stewardship Program, championed by Senator
Tom Harkin and included in the
2008
Farm Bill, takes an
important step toward rewarding these kinds of practices, but we need to
move this approach from the periphery of our farm policy to the very center.
Longer term, the government should back ambitious research now under way
(at the Land Institute in Kansas and a handful of other places) to
perennialize commodity agriculture: to breed varieties of wheat,
rice and other staple grains that can be grown like prairie grasses
without having to till the soil every year. These perennial grains hold the
promise of slashing the fossil fuel now needed to fertilize and till the
soil, while protecting farmland from erosion and sequestering significant
amounts of carbon.
But that is probably a 50-year project. For todays agriculture to wean
itself from fossil fuel and make optimal use of sunlight, crop plants and
animals must once again be married on the farm as in Wendell Berrys
elegant