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BULLETIN

TROPICAL STORM BONNIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

1 PM CDT WED AUG 11 2004

...BONNIE ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD AND GETTING STRONGER...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT

FOR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM THE

ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANEE RIVER.

A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA

LATER TODAY.

AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST OR ABOUT

205 MILES SOUTH OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH. THIS GENERAL

MOTION...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED TO

CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...BONNIE IS

EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THURSDAY

MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS RECENTLY MEASURED BY RECONNAISSANCE

AIRCRAFT ARE 65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND REPORTS ALSO

INDICATE THAT A SMALL EYE MAY BE FORMING. ADDITIONAL

STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND BONNIE

COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR THURSDAY MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM

THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 42001 LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE CENTER OF

BONNIE REPORTED A 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND OF 56 MPH WITH A GUST

TO 67 MPH DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE

LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE

EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE HAS SATURATED THE

GROUND. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH

ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF BONNIE

BY THURSDAY MORNING.

REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...26.2 N... 89.5W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED

WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR

PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

AT 4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER STEWART